shmita year 2022 stock market
America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers One sharp observer who realized that this was not how things worked in the real world was the British economist John Maynard Keynes. Yedidya Julian Sinclair works in the Israeli clean tech world. A book that I picked off the shelf last month in Hudsons News at Union Station in Washington DC is rather confident that it will. He argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time. 1972-1973 Shmita Year - 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. With that assertion, it is imperative to learn about the Shemitah Effect as we study End Times prophecy. This is due to the fact that from the beginning of the planting season the Shemitah has a negative affect on the economy, because all those people and businesses that make a living through agriculture would experience a downturn throughout that year. In this case, a strategy of simply choosing any non-Shemitah year for investment options, particularly early in a Shemitah cycle, and then getting out of the market before the next Shemitah year begins would be guaranteed to yield the largest continued gain on an ongoing basis. The year following the series of seven Shemitahs, or the 50th year, was designated the Year of Jubilee (called Yovel in Hebrew). To continue our analysis, the following graph plots the Shemitah years against the unemployment rate over the years 1948 to September 1, 2015. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. There is basically no systematic effect. Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? On this year of jubilee each of you shall return to his own property. The law only required that no one actually plant, harvest, and sell the crops for that year, but that the fruit of the aftergrowth would be available for all to access and consume without charge. Six years you shall sow your field, and six years you shall prune your vineyard and gather in its crop. If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. Been looking for this thread. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. This happened to be a Shemitah year. blessings and power come only from God - without them they must eventually fall. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. Your email address will not be published. The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. From my perspective, its all quite weird. The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. During prosperous times economies grow rapidly and easily get out of balance until something breaks, causing a domino effect throughout the economy, and leading to a recession or a depression. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. German, Austro-Hungarian, The Largest Percent Changes in the Dow Jones industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake11987-10-191738.74508.0022.6121929-10-28260.6438.3312.82 31899-12-1858.277.9411.99 41929-10-29230.0730.5711.73 51929-11-06232.1325.559.92 61932-08-1263.115.798.40 71907-03-1476.236.898.29 81987-10-261793.93156.838.0492008-10-158577.91733.087.87101933-07-2188.717.557.84 111937-10-18125.7310.577.75122008-12-018149.09679.957.70132008-10-098579.19678.917.33141917-02-0188.526.917.24151997-10-277161.15554.267.18 161932-10-0566.075.097.15 172001-09-178920.7684.817.13181931-09-24107.798.207.07191933-07-2096.267.327.07 202008-09-2910365.45777.686.98. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. This is what the Lord said through Moses in Deuteronomy: At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. understanding about current and future events. Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? Risk Disclaimer & Terms of Service If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. This important Jewish holiday occurs in the fall, usually in Late September or early October (it occurred on Sept. 23 in 2015), and it serves to usher in the start of the New Year of Jubilee. Both dates were the eve of Rosh Hashanah on the final day of a shmita year. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Economy is like an unfathomable thing. You can do anything you decide to do. But it never does. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. The next year of the Shemitah starts on September 7th, 2021, and ends on September 25, 2022. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. Going back another seven years brings us to 1987. Think about this. SHEMITAH CYCLE - YouTube 0:00 / 14:10 STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Is the Shemitah Effect real or is it imagined? Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. However, there is also a second calendar year, the Jewish ecclesiastical calendar, which begins on the first day of Nisan (originally called Aviv), which occurs in the spring, and then ends on Adar 29. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. It was 2015, and a church friend of mine was warning about the stock market crash that she was predicting. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. In the year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the Lehman brothers which led to the housing market crash and recession. Mike Wilson, the chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, was the No. Year of the Shmita September 24th 2022! God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. hewn stones." Yes, its a construction and as for all constructions affecting us, it might be a smart ting having a look at it in order to understand it. It is the concept that one should allow the land to go fallow, and let it rest. These differences are significant (p < 0.05). You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. The last sabbath year was in 2014-2015 and the last yubilee-year was in 1972-1973. But what does this have. Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. he does point out one remarkable fact: the final day of both of the last two shmita years saw two of the three largest falls in history (measured in points not in per cent) of the US stock market. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Moreover, the amplitude between the peaks and troughs is growing, meaning that the destructive power of the crashes is also growing. You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. God often operates within the realm of probabilities in such a way that He makes it difficult or impossible for us to absolutely predict the future. All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. Note: Unlike Cahn and others who have considered the Shemitah Effect to mainly occur near the end of the Shemitah year or within 1 month of its end (i.e., the Elul-Tishri 2-month time period), this analysis considers the entire Shemitah year to be a time of potential economic downturn. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. Lets look at this effect in more detail by considering more extensive data sets. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. Cahns book basically engages in cherry-picking.. 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. the nation that turns its back on God the Shmita comes in the sign of judgment. Will God show us his mercy or his wrath for being an anti God nation. As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. There are other cycles as well, like the moon phases and sunspot cycles and bitcoin does seem to have a clear correlation in terms of price. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. In proportion to the extent of the years you shall increase its price, and in proportion to the fewness of the years you shall diminish its price, for it is a number of crops he is selling to you. This law ensured that Hebrew slaves would not be held as slaves forever, regardless of the debt they owed or the situation they found themselves in. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. If the rise of a You shall eat its crops out of the field. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the In reality, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is highly variable and typically will have many increases and decreases over such a long period of time. The Bible is absolutely a book of great importance, at least for lots of religious people. However, the Shemitah years represented by 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1986-1987, 1993-1994, and 2014-2015 all occurred during times of low unemployment and with no subsequent rate increases. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. U.S. Voted to Through these two characteristics, the Lord provided a life of rest and highly reduced stress, while encouraging his people to live without having the burden of debt hanging over their heads. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. To The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. So, at the climax of the 2001 Shmita came two falls; a colossal collapse in Wall Street Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. The Largest Point Drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake12008-09-2910365.45-777.68-6.9822008-10-158577.91-733.08-7.8732001-09-178920.7-684.81-7.1342008-12-018149.09-679.95-7.752008-10-098579.19-678.91-7.3362011-08-0810809.85-634.76-5.55 72000-04-1410305.78-617.77-5.66 82015-08-2415871.35-588.4-3.5791997-10-277161.14-554.26-7.18 102015-08-2116459.75-530.94-3.12112011-08-1010719.94-519.83-4.62 122008-10-228519.21-514.45-5.69132011-08-0411383.68-512.76-4.31 141998-08-317539.06-512.62-6.37 152008-10-079447.11-508.39-5.11161987-10-191738.74-508-22.61172008-09-1510917.51-504.48-4.42182008-11-059139.27-486.01-5.05192015-09-0116058.35-469.68-2.84202008-09-1710609.66-449.36-4.06. YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. A mini-recession built into their economic system every seven years which assured that there would be no financial bubbles or the subsequent severe crashes, which often resulted from them. These types of intense boom-and-bust periods characterize the economies of todays world, and they appear to be unpredictable and unpreventable. The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. The S&P 500 has posted a mild recovery since its bear market lows in mid-2022, when it fell more than 25% from its high. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Not knowing what it was, I asked her. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. His greenhouse follows specific guidelines that certify the produce kosher for the sabbatical year called shmita in Hebrew, that began last month on the Jewish New Year, and extends through the fall of 2015. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with If you just look at the stock prices, things dont look bad stocks continue to rise. Feel free to contact me if you have questions or comments. hewn stones. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. All during this one Shmita year. They year also strands for debt forgiveness to break debt cycles. Why stocks. Most people are familiar with the concept of the weekly Sabbath, which was given by God for man to rest one day out of every seven days, just as the Lord rested on the seventh day after the six days of creation (note: in the original language of Genesis relative to the creation, days = eons). 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. Personally, this series was an eye-opener. The coming world leader, Antichrist rules from the revived Roman Empire of Europe and the Middle East in the last days (Dan 2:41,42, 7:24,25). Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. It is a Shabbat of years instead of a Shabbat of days. Cahn subsequently went on to publish a second book in 2014 that was exclusively related to the Shemitah Effect, entitled The Mystery of the Shemitah. Exodus 23:11. Many economists and others who study the global financial systems have wondered why major downturns in the economy seem to happen in early fall, especially in the months of September and October. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). Rigel senior . The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, Selectively cherry-picking from data sets can result in seeing an effect that is not really there. Please try again or choose an option below. The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. Decisions are often based on knowledge, so increasing your knowledge is a great thing. Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. I dont know. 1 Tech Stock Leading the Market Recovery. The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. Today's world is very unstablewatch Bible prophecy unfold before our very eyes! This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. Required fields are marked *. Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. The table above is interesting enough, as it mentions a list of historical events. The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. Now, Im nowhere near as confident as Mr. Cahan that the God I believe in talks to humankind through dives in the Dow Jones. In addition, the law of the Shemitah allowed for all people and animals to eat freely of the opportunistic crops which grew during the Sabbath year. In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? Global recession. Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. The book, (when I could bring myself to open it) turned out to be by a Jewish-born Messianic Christian preacher from New Jersey named Jonathan Cahan. Two-thousand years later, the idea that people need a weekly rhythm of work and rest, has been embraced by most people on the planet. Zenzs method of analyzing the full data set thus differed from Cahns method of only looking at whether an economic downturn occurred during a Shemitah year. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. Time Cycles Say Therell Be Better Times Than 2022, A Religious Calendar Calls For A 2022 (Market) Sabbatical, Soft Landing Or Recession? The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. I higly recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). Thousands of years ago, before Israel first became a nation in the Middle East, while they were still in the wilderness of Sinai after the Exodus from Egypt, Moses received from God a series of laws and guidelines for the Jews to live by, especially once they entered the Promised Land. modern history. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). What happened. By AARON KATSMAN Published:. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. 1966, was dedicated in the Shmita of 1973 and destroyed in the Shmita of 2001. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). This year is a different story. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. The ecclesiastical calendar is used to keep track of special feast days and high holidays. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. In this way, all property bought and sold between Hebrews was really only rented for a time and not permanently transferred or lost. Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. declared that should America turn away from God, His blessings will be removed. ". 3 From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. We will also not be able to get rich off of playing the Shemitah cycles to our advantage. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. then I will so order My blessing for you in the sixth year that it will bring forth the crop for three years. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. All of you shall have the sabbath products of the land for food; yourself, and your male and female slaves, and your hired man and your foreign resident, those who live as aliens with you. He described within it, as part of a series of harbingers to judgment affecting the United States and the world, a concept related to an old Jewish law often called the Shemitah (The Harbinger, p. 153). In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. Please contact us in case of abuse. Championship Clubs Debt,
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America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers One sharp observer who realized that this was not how things worked in the real world was the British economist John Maynard Keynes. Yedidya Julian Sinclair works in the Israeli clean tech world. A book that I picked off the shelf last month in Hudsons News at Union Station in Washington DC is rather confident that it will. He argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time. 1972-1973 Shmita Year - 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. With that assertion, it is imperative to learn about the Shemitah Effect as we study End Times prophecy. This is due to the fact that from the beginning of the planting season the Shemitah has a negative affect on the economy, because all those people and businesses that make a living through agriculture would experience a downturn throughout that year. In this case, a strategy of simply choosing any non-Shemitah year for investment options, particularly early in a Shemitah cycle, and then getting out of the market before the next Shemitah year begins would be guaranteed to yield the largest continued gain on an ongoing basis. The year following the series of seven Shemitahs, or the 50th year, was designated the Year of Jubilee (called Yovel in Hebrew). To continue our analysis, the following graph plots the Shemitah years against the unemployment rate over the years 1948 to September 1, 2015. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. There is basically no systematic effect. Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? On this year of jubilee each of you shall return to his own property. The law only required that no one actually plant, harvest, and sell the crops for that year, but that the fruit of the aftergrowth would be available for all to access and consume without charge. Six years you shall sow your field, and six years you shall prune your vineyard and gather in its crop. If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. Been looking for this thread. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. This happened to be a Shemitah year. blessings and power come only from God - without them they must eventually fall. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. Your email address will not be published. The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. From my perspective, its all quite weird. The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. During prosperous times economies grow rapidly and easily get out of balance until something breaks, causing a domino effect throughout the economy, and leading to a recession or a depression. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. German, Austro-Hungarian, The Largest Percent Changes in the Dow Jones industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake11987-10-191738.74508.0022.6121929-10-28260.6438.3312.82 31899-12-1858.277.9411.99 41929-10-29230.0730.5711.73 51929-11-06232.1325.559.92 61932-08-1263.115.798.40 71907-03-1476.236.898.29 81987-10-261793.93156.838.0492008-10-158577.91733.087.87101933-07-2188.717.557.84 111937-10-18125.7310.577.75122008-12-018149.09679.957.70132008-10-098579.19678.917.33141917-02-0188.526.917.24151997-10-277161.15554.267.18 161932-10-0566.075.097.15 172001-09-178920.7684.817.13181931-09-24107.798.207.07191933-07-2096.267.327.07 202008-09-2910365.45777.686.98. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. This is what the Lord said through Moses in Deuteronomy: At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. understanding about current and future events. Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? Risk Disclaimer & Terms of Service If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. This important Jewish holiday occurs in the fall, usually in Late September or early October (it occurred on Sept. 23 in 2015), and it serves to usher in the start of the New Year of Jubilee. Both dates were the eve of Rosh Hashanah on the final day of a shmita year. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Economy is like an unfathomable thing. You can do anything you decide to do. But it never does. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. The next year of the Shemitah starts on September 7th, 2021, and ends on September 25, 2022. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. Going back another seven years brings us to 1987. Think about this. SHEMITAH CYCLE - YouTube 0:00 / 14:10 STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Is the Shemitah Effect real or is it imagined? Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. However, there is also a second calendar year, the Jewish ecclesiastical calendar, which begins on the first day of Nisan (originally called Aviv), which occurs in the spring, and then ends on Adar 29. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. It was 2015, and a church friend of mine was warning about the stock market crash that she was predicting. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. In the year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the Lehman brothers which led to the housing market crash and recession. Mike Wilson, the chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, was the No. Year of the Shmita September 24th 2022! God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. hewn stones." Yes, its a construction and as for all constructions affecting us, it might be a smart ting having a look at it in order to understand it. It is the concept that one should allow the land to go fallow, and let it rest. These differences are significant (p < 0.05). You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. The last sabbath year was in 2014-2015 and the last yubilee-year was in 1972-1973. But what does this have. Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. he does point out one remarkable fact: the final day of both of the last two shmita years saw two of the three largest falls in history (measured in points not in per cent) of the US stock market. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Moreover, the amplitude between the peaks and troughs is growing, meaning that the destructive power of the crashes is also growing. You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. God often operates within the realm of probabilities in such a way that He makes it difficult or impossible for us to absolutely predict the future. All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. Note: Unlike Cahn and others who have considered the Shemitah Effect to mainly occur near the end of the Shemitah year or within 1 month of its end (i.e., the Elul-Tishri 2-month time period), this analysis considers the entire Shemitah year to be a time of potential economic downturn. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. Lets look at this effect in more detail by considering more extensive data sets. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. Cahns book basically engages in cherry-picking.. 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. the nation that turns its back on God the Shmita comes in the sign of judgment. Will God show us his mercy or his wrath for being an anti God nation. As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. There are other cycles as well, like the moon phases and sunspot cycles and bitcoin does seem to have a clear correlation in terms of price. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. In proportion to the extent of the years you shall increase its price, and in proportion to the fewness of the years you shall diminish its price, for it is a number of crops he is selling to you. This law ensured that Hebrew slaves would not be held as slaves forever, regardless of the debt they owed or the situation they found themselves in. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. If the rise of a You shall eat its crops out of the field. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the In reality, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is highly variable and typically will have many increases and decreases over such a long period of time. The Bible is absolutely a book of great importance, at least for lots of religious people. However, the Shemitah years represented by 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1986-1987, 1993-1994, and 2014-2015 all occurred during times of low unemployment and with no subsequent rate increases. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. U.S. Voted to Through these two characteristics, the Lord provided a life of rest and highly reduced stress, while encouraging his people to live without having the burden of debt hanging over their heads. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. To The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. So, at the climax of the 2001 Shmita came two falls; a colossal collapse in Wall Street Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. The Largest Point Drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake12008-09-2910365.45-777.68-6.9822008-10-158577.91-733.08-7.8732001-09-178920.7-684.81-7.1342008-12-018149.09-679.95-7.752008-10-098579.19-678.91-7.3362011-08-0810809.85-634.76-5.55 72000-04-1410305.78-617.77-5.66 82015-08-2415871.35-588.4-3.5791997-10-277161.14-554.26-7.18 102015-08-2116459.75-530.94-3.12112011-08-1010719.94-519.83-4.62 122008-10-228519.21-514.45-5.69132011-08-0411383.68-512.76-4.31 141998-08-317539.06-512.62-6.37 152008-10-079447.11-508.39-5.11161987-10-191738.74-508-22.61172008-09-1510917.51-504.48-4.42182008-11-059139.27-486.01-5.05192015-09-0116058.35-469.68-2.84202008-09-1710609.66-449.36-4.06. YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. A mini-recession built into their economic system every seven years which assured that there would be no financial bubbles or the subsequent severe crashes, which often resulted from them. These types of intense boom-and-bust periods characterize the economies of todays world, and they appear to be unpredictable and unpreventable. The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. The S&P 500 has posted a mild recovery since its bear market lows in mid-2022, when it fell more than 25% from its high. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Not knowing what it was, I asked her. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. His greenhouse follows specific guidelines that certify the produce kosher for the sabbatical year called shmita in Hebrew, that began last month on the Jewish New Year, and extends through the fall of 2015. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with If you just look at the stock prices, things dont look bad stocks continue to rise. Feel free to contact me if you have questions or comments. hewn stones. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. All during this one Shmita year. They year also strands for debt forgiveness to break debt cycles. Why stocks. Most people are familiar with the concept of the weekly Sabbath, which was given by God for man to rest one day out of every seven days, just as the Lord rested on the seventh day after the six days of creation (note: in the original language of Genesis relative to the creation, days = eons). 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. Personally, this series was an eye-opener. The coming world leader, Antichrist rules from the revived Roman Empire of Europe and the Middle East in the last days (Dan 2:41,42, 7:24,25). Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. It is a Shabbat of years instead of a Shabbat of days. Cahn subsequently went on to publish a second book in 2014 that was exclusively related to the Shemitah Effect, entitled The Mystery of the Shemitah. Exodus 23:11. Many economists and others who study the global financial systems have wondered why major downturns in the economy seem to happen in early fall, especially in the months of September and October. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). Rigel senior . The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, Selectively cherry-picking from data sets can result in seeing an effect that is not really there. Please try again or choose an option below. The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. Decisions are often based on knowledge, so increasing your knowledge is a great thing. Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. I dont know. 1 Tech Stock Leading the Market Recovery. The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. Today's world is very unstablewatch Bible prophecy unfold before our very eyes! This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. Required fields are marked *. Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. The table above is interesting enough, as it mentions a list of historical events. The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. Now, Im nowhere near as confident as Mr. Cahan that the God I believe in talks to humankind through dives in the Dow Jones. In addition, the law of the Shemitah allowed for all people and animals to eat freely of the opportunistic crops which grew during the Sabbath year. In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? Global recession. Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. The book, (when I could bring myself to open it) turned out to be by a Jewish-born Messianic Christian preacher from New Jersey named Jonathan Cahan. Two-thousand years later, the idea that people need a weekly rhythm of work and rest, has been embraced by most people on the planet. Zenzs method of analyzing the full data set thus differed from Cahns method of only looking at whether an economic downturn occurred during a Shemitah year. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. Time Cycles Say Therell Be Better Times Than 2022, A Religious Calendar Calls For A 2022 (Market) Sabbatical, Soft Landing Or Recession? The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. I higly recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). Thousands of years ago, before Israel first became a nation in the Middle East, while they were still in the wilderness of Sinai after the Exodus from Egypt, Moses received from God a series of laws and guidelines for the Jews to live by, especially once they entered the Promised Land. modern history. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). What happened. By AARON KATSMAN Published:. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. 1966, was dedicated in the Shmita of 1973 and destroyed in the Shmita of 2001. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). This year is a different story. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. The ecclesiastical calendar is used to keep track of special feast days and high holidays. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. In this way, all property bought and sold between Hebrews was really only rented for a time and not permanently transferred or lost. Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. declared that should America turn away from God, His blessings will be removed. ". 3 From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. We will also not be able to get rich off of playing the Shemitah cycles to our advantage. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. then I will so order My blessing for you in the sixth year that it will bring forth the crop for three years. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. All of you shall have the sabbath products of the land for food; yourself, and your male and female slaves, and your hired man and your foreign resident, those who live as aliens with you. He described within it, as part of a series of harbingers to judgment affecting the United States and the world, a concept related to an old Jewish law often called the Shemitah (The Harbinger, p. 153). In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. Please contact us in case of abuse.
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