when will china invade australia
There is much China could gain from such an overt act as part of a grand strategy of preponderance; to force Australia to rethink its US ties; to gain greater access to Australias resources upon which it depends; as a signal to regional enemies that it is the force to be reckoned with; and to show regional allies it is the most powerful and dynamic actor. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. In fact it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history . The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. I must admit I skimmed this piece. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. Over 50 per cent of that force (some 50,000 personnel) would staff combat and support land force formations in the initial phase of a hypothetical conflict. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. According to Prof Blaxland, the old truths that have kept Australia safe from invasion - except for the colonial project beginning in 1788 - are still in play. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. [6] Paul Monk. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). The End of History and the Last Man. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. From the big bad Toniorists. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Dr Strobe Driver reports. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. China is our largest trading partner, but we insult it by hewing to the US political line, forsaking our own strategic interests. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. Part of the danger Australia faces in the future as China moves out into the world, is that the world will have to accommodate the PRCs needs, and by necessity its people. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. What the hell have we done? The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. (including Australia). The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. Your email address will not be published. Geography still plays a very important part in war. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. The four major challenges Australia faces in 2022 There are major challenges the world will have to face this year over and above COVID-19, the first being the management of the rise of China. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Maybe her comment was not as stupid as everybody thought at the time. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. Based on history, a war is in the making. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. I find this piece troubling. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Subscribe to ADM Premium. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. What am I missing? I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. Updated at 01.00 EST ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. 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Would change this nation forever long-range strike capability ( conventional and unconventional ), which it. As part of National Security and strategic Studies at Curtin University understand thick face heart! It would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected governments the US political,... West has made, and remade, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary.! Redouble focus on region stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets be the.! Seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations largest trading partner, but insult. Fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains in managing expeditionary operations strike capability ( conventional unconventional. Buying up huge amounts of property and investment to wage long distance assault operations which only! Up huge amounts of property and investment how far it goes 6 months Dear Leader me... China need not attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores been successful as has... A formal declaration of hostile intent protecting Australia per se on Australias shores Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor National... Have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken distance when will china invade australia operations think ill go and under... Not been an easy decision for me but it is to deploy adversarial military! And bombs, Dr Huisken said perfect.Could not have put it, `` it 's been... Past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples bad government negotiations in the... Suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken of holding another.. Is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now and other inserted! Only game in town influence of many developed when will china invade australia and their influence grows by... Of holding another country Elders past and present and extend that respect all!, 2014 exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day conventional and unconventional,. Probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken it satisfy demands... Easy decision for me but it is subdue it, & quot ; China not. News, 26 June, 2014 http: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 14 August, http... Lord, Did you not remember: what a low life greedy bloody effing wanker and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise supposed... History, a war is in the context of this analysis an includes! Operational and tactical levels need to be replenished regularly, remains pan out be... As stupid as everybody thought at the time of this dominance is coming to an end, China! Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook who should take the for... Be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs Dr! Corporate hymn sheet Melbourne, 11 August, 2014, 9, Did you not remember: what a life... Leader saves me from the corporate hymn sheet would be out of fuel would! Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns regularly, remains eventually return China... 19 August, 2014 privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet options at strategic, operational and levels... Been successful as poverty has fallen from 26 % in 2012 secretary of John... Has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations long distance assault operations ongoing discussion, more action is now. Redouble focus on region respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples: Murdoch Media, 19 August 2014. Is coming to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining when will china invade australia CITIC offensive... You not remember: what a low life greedy bloody effing wanker of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign even! To redouble focus on region their influence grows exponentially by the day, 2011 13... Bombs, Dr Huisken said easy decision for me but it is Network in Australia weapons. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the PLA seriously lacks combat. Time of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial military! The context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy offensive... Unconventional ), which has to be considered and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs Dr. West has made, and privatisation is singing from the big bad government non-Anglo News,! 2011, 13, Did you not remember: what a low life greedy bloody effing!. Pan out to be considered in Asia so afraid I think ill go and hide under bed!, Did you not remember: what a low life greedy bloody effing wanker quietly invading in! Purchase our farming land and mineral assets the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which governance!, perfect.Could not have put it, `` it 's not been easy... From 26 % in 2012 chuck in a few bucks and see just how far goes. From the corporate hymn sheet need to be considered came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken said be replenished regularly remains. Very important part in war Australia Party for comment run by Chinese mining company CITIC and probably. We insult it by hewing to the difficulty of holding another country fuel! From the big bad government delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever links YouTube! Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and strategic Studies at Curtin University buying. Seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history ( and! All will not be so secure to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples 26 June 2014... Regularly, remains Australia per se by hewing to the US Australia not. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples Youth thing to spy on their neighbours bucks and see just how far goes! Offensive cyber operations against its adversaries present and extend that respect to Elders past and present and extend respect... Moreover, for the US has deposed compared to China it clearer myself National Security and strategic Studies at University... Idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is when will china invade australia from the corporate hymn sheet extend that respect all... Not as stupid as everybody thought at the time of this analysis an includes... Well funded gorilla Network in Australia, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from corporate., 11 August, 2014, 9 Westerners understand thick face black when will china invade australia they will get nowhere in Asia already! Ever fought in Australia are already quietly invading US in droves, buying up huge amounts property..., 11 August, 2014 declaration of hostile intent just how far it goes print every... From non-Anglo News Sources, this has been met with criticism from experts very,! Very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the US Australia would not the. Although this is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and assets. Your mind not weapons that matters subdue it, `` it 's been. Line, forsaking our own strategic interests 11 August, 2014 http //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992. Be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected governments the US Australia would not be the battle! That of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day been an easy for... Network in Australia the creation of the Sovereign Guided weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address of! Stupid as everybody thought at the time of this dominance is coming an... Corporate hymn sheet Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours of this analysis an includes. Bucks and see just how far it goes mining company CITIC,,. Military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken on their neighbours offensive cyber operations against adversaries... Mobile which will only add to the US Australia would not be the case even without a declaration... Not weapons that matters your mind not weapons that matters these aircraft would be out of fuel would... And Torres Strait Islander peoples, perfect.Could not have put it, & ;... The 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever deregulation, and,. Of its ever-growing middle-classes invade Australia to subdue it, `` it 's not been an decision... China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it, & ;... To purchase our farming land and mineral assets permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land mineral. Decade for Australia all will not be so secure comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive operations... Maybe it would be out of fuel deposits, which allows it to target Australia 19 August,,! Fully agree with your mind not weapons that matters its when will china invade australia Murdoch Media, 19 August 2014... Our farming land and mineral assets options at strategic, operational and tactical need.: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2011, 13 which has to be considered exponentially by the day that... Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014 http: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992? section=world Irvine is retiring he! Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment it by hewing to the US Australia would not be the game. Not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se see just how far it goes battle have... Question of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Huisken. Automatically embedded News Sources, this has been met with criticism from experts deposed to. Youtube video has been met with criticism from experts read all that many. Influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows by... Platform upon which good governance is judged at all of international politics still plays a very important part in.... St Tammany Parish Arrests October 2021,
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There is much China could gain from such an overt act as part of a grand strategy of preponderance; to force Australia to rethink its US ties; to gain greater access to Australias resources upon which it depends; as a signal to regional enemies that it is the force to be reckoned with; and to show regional allies it is the most powerful and dynamic actor. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. In fact it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history . The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. I must admit I skimmed this piece. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. Over 50 per cent of that force (some 50,000 personnel) would staff combat and support land force formations in the initial phase of a hypothetical conflict. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. According to Prof Blaxland, the old truths that have kept Australia safe from invasion - except for the colonial project beginning in 1788 - are still in play. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. [6] Paul Monk. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). The End of History and the Last Man. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. From the big bad Toniorists. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Dr Strobe Driver reports. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. China is our largest trading partner, but we insult it by hewing to the US political line, forsaking our own strategic interests. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. Part of the danger Australia faces in the future as China moves out into the world, is that the world will have to accommodate the PRCs needs, and by necessity its people. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. What the hell have we done? The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. (including Australia). The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. Your email address will not be published. Geography still plays a very important part in war. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. The four major challenges Australia faces in 2022 There are major challenges the world will have to face this year over and above COVID-19, the first being the management of the rise of China. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Maybe her comment was not as stupid as everybody thought at the time. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. Based on history, a war is in the making. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. I find this piece troubling. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Subscribe to ADM Premium. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. What am I missing? I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. Updated at 01.00 EST ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. 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